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Rebuilding the Annual Inflation Rate Washington Could Not Publish for October Puts It at About 4 Per Cent, the Highest Since May

The bureau left the annual column blank and pointed readers to a method for filling it. We applied that method to every major index, then tested it on the three series where October 2025 prices do exist.

A filling station canopy sign showing unleaded at $4.999, mid-grade at $5.399 and premium at $5.799 a gallon, with fir trees in morning mist behind the pumps.

Fuel prices at a station in Eugene, Oregon, on 26 September 2026. File photograph.

The October consumer price report has a hole where its most quoted number should be. In the table that normally opens with the year's inflation rate, the 12-month column for all items, for core prices, for food, for energy and for shelter carries a dash.

U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4 per cent in October, seasonally adjusted, and core prices rose 0.3 per cent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said on 10 November 2026. It published no annual rate because it never collected October 2025 prices. Using the bureau's approximation method, we estimate annual inflation at about 4.0 per cent and core at 2.8 per cent.

Because there is nothing to compare October 2026 with. "BLS did not collect survey data for October 2025 because of a lapse in appropriations," the release says, and so it "cannot publish 12-month percent changes for October 2026 for indexes where October 2025 data are unavailable." The October 2025 cell in the bureau's all-items series is simply empty, sitting between September's 324.800 and November's 324.122.

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