Forecasting

Tagged stories

A close-up of a white seismograph drum wrapped in paper ruled with fine recorded lines, with a thin metal stylus resting on it.
Technology

AI Researchers Moved Their Date for Human-Level Machines 13 Years in One Survey. Nova Reach Founder Rishabh Singh Has Stopped Picking a Year.

AI researchers, forecasting platforms and lab chiefs have put dates on artificial general intelligence ranging from 2026 to the 2040s, and the estimates keep moving. Rishabh Singh, founder of Nova Reach and Nova Infinity and co-founder and CTO of JoinMeIn, argues in a September essay that the most useful answer to the AGI question is not a date but a way to build.