Consumer Sentiment

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What Households Expect for the Next Year: Pay Up 2.6 Per Cent, Prices Up 3.9 Per Cent, the Widest Gap Since April 2023

Median one-year inflation expectations held at 3.9 per cent in October and expected earnings growth at 2.6 per cent, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said on Monday. The average probability households put on higher unemployment a year from now rose to 45.3 per cent, the highest since April 2020.

By Margaret Holloway November 10, 2026

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Markets

The 30-Year Treasury Closed at Its Highest Since the Bond Came Back in 2006. Households Had Already Marked Up Their Inflation Forecast.

The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.49 per cent on Friday, its highest since the Treasury resumed issuing the bond in February 2006, and the ten-year ended the week 21 basis points higher than it started. The University of Michigan's final September survey has year-ahead inflation expectations at 4.6 per cent, up from 4.0 per cent in August, and sentiment at 48.1.

By Daniel Okafor September 28, 2026

Tagged stories

What Households Expect for the Next Year: Pay Up 2.6 Per Cent, Prices Up 3.9 Per Cent, the Widest Gap Since April 2023

The 30-Year Treasury Closed at Its Highest Since the Bond Came Back in 2006. Households Had Already Marked Up Their Inflation Forecast.